BMC Ecology and Evolution

Table 4 The percentage of persistence, expansion, and contraction in the range of Arbutus pavarii predicted the MaxEnt model based on the HadGEM3-GC31-LL general climate model under the scenarios SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 during the period 2041–2060 and 2060–2080

From: The sensitivity and response of the threatened endemic shrub Arbutus pavarii to current and future climate change

Suitability class	Area & Percentage	HadGEM3-GC31-LL
		2050s		2070s
		SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5	SSP1-2.6	SSP5-8.5
Range contraction	km²	249	342	179	584
Range contraction	(%)	0.59	0.81	0.42	1.39
No change	km²	6467	6374	6537	6132
No change	(%)	15.34	15.12	15.51	14.55
Range expansion	km²	473	95	283	108
Range expansion	(%)	1.12	0.23	0.67	0.26

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ISSN: 2730-7182

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