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Table 3 Predicted range changes (km2) for Arbutus pavarii distribution for 2050s and 2070s at two global warming scenarios SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 as compared with the potential current distribution

From: The sensitivity and response of the threatened endemic shrub Arbutus pavarii to current and future climate change

Suitability class

Area & Percentage

Current

HadGEM3-GC31-LL

2050s

 

2070s

 

SSP1-2.6

SSP5-8.5

SSP1-2.6

SSP5-8.5

Unsuitable

km2

35,402

35,195

35,666

35,315

35,895

(%)

83.98

83.49

84.60

83.77

85.15

Low

km2

3625

3773

3461

3590

3256

(%)

8.60

8.95

8.21

8.52

7.72

Moderate

km2

2657

2645

2603

2829

2459

(%)

6.30

6.27

6.17

6.71

5.83

High

km2

434

543

426

422

546

(%)

1.03

1.29

1.01

1.00

1.30