From: Insights on long-term ecosystem changes from stable isotopes in historical squid beaks
δ13C | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Time series | n | Main increase | After main increase | s, min–max (mean ± SE) | GAMM | ||||||
individuals | subsections | rate | subsections | rate | subsections | Intercept (mean ± SE) | k, s(Subsection)1 | p | Deviance explained, % | ||
Late XIXth century | 2 | 32 | 0.41 ‰ | 1 to 4 | -0.01 ‰ | 4 to 15 | n/a | -16.67 ± 0.36 | 4, 2.99 | < 0.0001 | 99.1 |
1900s | 9 | 73 | 0.33 ‰ | 1 to 4 | -0.13 ‰ | 4 to 8 | 0.07–0.49 (0.28 ± 0.04) | -17.63 ± 0.16 | 4, 2.91 | < 0.0001 | 90.9 |
1930s | 7 | 91 | 0.39 ‰ | 1 to 4 | -0.06 ‰ | 4 to 12 | 0.39–0.74 (0.55 ± 0.06) | -16.73 ± 0.16 | 4, 2.93 | < 0.0001 | 92.5 |
1970s | 9 | 101 | 0.35 ‰ | 1 to 4 | -0.02 ‰ | 4 to 12 | 0.36–0.60 (0.50 ± 0.03) | -17.14 ± 0.11 | 3, 2.00 | < 0.0001 | 91.7 |
2000s | 10 | 123 | 0.34 ‰ | 1 to 4 | -0.06 ‰ | 4 to 11 | 0.10–0.45 (0.26 ± 0.03) | -16.06 ± 0.17 | 4, 2.85 | < 0.0001 | 89.1 |
2010s | 10 | 153 | 0.30 ‰ | 1 to 4 | -0.04 ‰ | 4 to 112 | 0.27–0.64 (0.38 ± 0.03) | -16.52 ± 0.13 | 3, 1.97 | < 0.0001 | 78.7 |
Contemporary (2016, 2017, 2019)3 | 13 | 157 | 0.29 ‰ | 1 to 5 | 0.01 ‰ | 5 to 15 | 0.20–0.67 (0.56 ± 0.05) | -17.17 ± 0.12 | 3, 1.93 | < 0.0001 | 80.7 |
TP | |||||||||||
Late XIXth century | 2 | 32 | 0.30 TP | 1 to 5 | 0.02 TP | 5 to 15 | n/a | 4.44 ± 0.56 | 4, 2.87 | < 0.0001 | 98.3 |
1900s | 9 | 73 | 0.24 TP | 1 to 5 | 0.06 TP | 5 to 8 | 0.94–0.97 (0.95 ± 0.01) | 4.42 ± 0.04 | 4, 2.93 | < 0.0001 | 94.7 |
1930s | 7 | 91 | 0.23 TP | 2 to 7 | 0.02 TP | 7 to 12 | 0.92–0.95 (0.93 ± 0.01) | 4.62 ± 0.05 | 4, 2.96 | < 0.0001 | 95.6 |
1970s | 9 | 101 | 0.28 TP | 3 to 6 | 0.05 TP | 6 to 12 | 0.81–0.91 (0.89 ± 0.01) | 4.16 ± 0.06 | 4, 2.98 | < 0.0001 | 96.1 |
2000s | 10 | 123 | 0.31 TP | 2 to 6 | 0.04 TP | 6 to 12 | 0.51–0.67 (0.61 ± 0.02) | 4.08 ± 0.09 | 4, 2.97 | < 0.0001 | 96.3 |
2010s | 10 | 153 | 0.21 TP | 1 to 6 | 0.05 TP | 6 to 15 | 0.72–0.85 (0.79 ± 0.01) | 3.93 ± 0.09 | 3, 1.00 | < 0.0001 | 89.6 |
Contemporary (2016, 2017, 2019)3 | 13 | 165 | 0.22 TP | 2 to 7 | 0.04 TP | 7 to 15 | 0.31–0.82 (0.69 ± 0.04) | 4.38 ± 0.09 | 3, 1.00 | < 0.0001 | 88.2 |